Round 13, 2010

odds on · All Australian Joined: 16 Jun 2008 Posts: 513

Agreed JB. I like Dons and Freo h2h prices and Port at the line.

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

Hawks first night game since they got towled by the Bombers in Rnd 7. Their form at teh G under lights isnt impressive, 2 heavy losses. Essendon on the other hand have kept their good form for the G underlights going 3-2 with only losses to Collingwood and the Cats.

Essendon +10.5
1.08 @ $1.92

odds on · All Australian Joined: 16 Jun 2008 Posts: 513

1 unit Essendon @ 2.45, Sportingbet

Jimmyboy · Posted: Fri Jun 18, 2010 6:49 pm Post subject:

After winning the last 5 some have been fooled into thinking the Hawks are a genuinely good side, but looking into those matches we see a bit of inconsistency. Not that the Bombers are immune to that, but the odds here are pretty good for the outsider considering the levels they can potentially play to at Etihad - beating the Saints and Bulldogs. Last week was a bit of a catastrophe but they haven't been able to get near the Cats for a while and it was probably the difference in the odds being 2.50 instead of 2.10.
0.5u Essendon at 2.50

CONGO · Rookie Joined: 22 May 2010 Posts: 12

2U Fremantle +8.5 1.90 INTO Wst Bulldogs -18.5 1.90

odds on · All Australian Joined: 16 Jun 2008 Posts: 513

1 unit Port +19.5 @ 1.92, Sportsbet

Seems a generous start for a team that has been competitive on the road. I'm expecting a close one.

onionsoup_ · Hall Of Fame Joined: 27 May 2004 Posts: 1086

Carlton -7.5 vs Fremantle @ 1.91 3u

Fremantle looking wobbly of late, hope that can continue here.

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

Carlton/Centrals Win
1.5 @ $2.00

odds on · All Australian Joined: 16 Jun 2008 Posts: 513

1 unit Freo @ 2.39,Pinnacle

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

Richmond +17.5
1.57 @ $1.95

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

The 6 day break should hurt Freo in the second half

Carlton +17.5
1.15 @ $1.88

onionsoup_ · Hall Of Fame Joined: 27 May 2004 Posts: 1086

North -19.5 @ 2.02 3u

Jimmyboy · Posted: Sun Jun 20, 2010 10:47 am Post subject:

A history of close games between these sides. Port matched it with the Hawks in Melbourne a couple of weeks ago so no reason they can't pull something out of the hat this time against an arguably weaker side.
0.25u Port Adelaide at 3.40

mercurial · Posted: Sun Jun 20, 2010 12:04 pm Post subject:

Double down.

North Melbourne v Port Adelaide +21.5, 1.91 @ Centrebet, 8/10

Jimmyboy · Posted: Sun Jun 20, 2010 3:14 pm Post subject:

Terrible effort from Port, they look almost disinterested...

Getting to that time of the season where the weaker teams start to fade. The Dogs' running style is perfectly suited to Subiaco and they should have what it takes here.
0.5u Western Bulldogs -18.5 at 1.86
0.25u Western Bulldogs 40+ at 3.20

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

WCE +21.5
1.65 @ $1.92

onionsoup_ · Hall Of Fame Joined: 27 May 2004 Posts: 1086

WB -20.5 @ 1.89 3u

Really would expect the Dogs to run all over the Eagles here.

odds on · All Australian Joined: 16 Jun 2008 Posts: 513

So we turn our attention to the second week of the split round. A 20.5 point head start in the GF rematch seems handy. Both teams deserve their places on the top two spots of the ladder. I would think the Saints usual stingy defense can keep this close.

Pies at the line also looks value. The Swans are traveling OK, but have really struggled against quality opposition. Pies have been a little hot and cold in the last month However this, now traditional, split round fixture at Homebush has been a happy hunting ground for them over the years. The Pies are probably a top 4 team and are a class above their Harbour side opponent.

Jimmyboy · Posted: Thu Jun 24, 2010 9:34 pm Post subject:

Might take a small stab at the Saints. In their current state they are perhaps a rung below the Cats, but I can't imagine them being uncompetitive. The way they've gone about things without their star is impressive.
0.25u St Kilda at 3.55

I have no hesitation in backing the Pies considering their record in this fixture and their overall form.
1.5u Collingwood at 1.73
0.25u Collingwood 40+ at 4.70