Stone Cold's Drip

pigsarse · Star Player Joined: 15 Apr 2006 Posts: 295

Yeah, go the draw. Very Happy

Seriously, how useless are these poms. Late on the fourth day, why were they dicking around instead of going for quick runs? They couldn't have lost from the position they were in, so what did they have to lose?

And why can't that lanky prick Harmison bowl accurately? I reckon 80% of the balls he bowls the batsman doesn't even have to play a shot at. If I was captain, I'd grab him by the ears and scream in his face: "Bowl straight you stupid #%^#!"

I know it's a fair way off, but the $1.40 available for the Aussies to win The Ashes surely has to be money for jam.

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

I would have to agree pigs.
That would have to be the greatest bet of the summer.

Jimmyboy · Posted: Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:43 pm Post subject:

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Being played in England I would not have had Australia at $1.30. Let's not forget that England only just won that series and Australia did struggle with plenty of injuries if my memory serves me correctly.
This time on home soil I expect it to be very different.

Jimmyboy · Posted: Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:55 pm Post subject:

Yeah in hindsight England had a brilliant record leading into that series and shouldn't have been the $4 or even $5 they were to win the series on home soil.

This time around it's the complete opposite, with England barely able to win a game since the last Ashes. Their form is terrible and Australia should whitewash them.

pigsarse · Star Player Joined: 15 Apr 2006 Posts: 295

And Australia will be nice and rested whilst the poms will have had a couple of tough series.

And England are being cruelled by injury whereas we'll have pretty much a full list to choose from.

If the poms pull this off, it will be one of the great sporting upsets of all time.

But then they do have Freddie... and as captain at that.

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Having a go today:

Collingwood v West Coast
Collingwood +39.5
$120.00 @ $1.12

investa · Star Player Joined: 21 May 2004 Posts: 313

solid play today stone cold!!!!

Any other plays that you can forsee 4 the weekeend!!!

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Collingwood v West Coast
Collingwood +39.5
$120.00 @ $1.12 Laughing

*Easy. Just having a look at todays games.

Bank: $534.40
Profit: $434.40

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Looked at taking St Kilda with some form of start but their record at Aurora turns me off taking them. They have never beaten Port Adelaide there losing all 3 games, 23pts, 46pts and 42pts. Last year St Kilda was 7th on the ladder and Port was 12th. I can't see St Kilda losing but their record at this ground is terrible.

Geelong is looking like being a bet with the +39.5. In their last 10 meetings Bulldogs have not beaten Geelong by a greater margin. Bulldogs have not won by that margin at the Telstra Dome in their last 6 games there. In Geelong's last 10 at Telstra Dome they have lost once by a greater margin and that was to St Kilda last year, losing by 41pts. In their last 10 games played Geelong have lost by a greater margin only twice and that was to Adelaide in Adelaide and Collingwood earlier this year. Bulldogs have won twice by a greater margin in their last 10 and funnily enough they were both interstate. This bet looks solid. Bulldogs losing two more players to injury and Geelong will be desperate to square the ledger.

Freo and Melbourne is an interesting game. Being played at Subiaco I wouldn't expect Freo to lose by 40pts, but I didn't expect that to happen against Geelong either. Apart from the Geelong loss Freo have only lost to Adelaide and West Coast at that ground in their last 10. Should we forgive them for that loss to Geelong??????Looking at H2H.......in their last 6 meetings Melbourne have won once by a greater margin than the +39.5 and that was earlier this year at the MCG. Every other meeting has been decided by a smaller margin. Melbourne have won their last 6 and IMO they are looking a touch tired, just getting over Brisbane and Richmond. They travelled to Brisbane 2 rounds ago and now to Perth. Are they due for a let down????????? I think at this time of year and the position Melbourne are in even if they were to be leading late in the game they would just try and consolidate the game. Melbourne are playing Bulldogs next week and coming back from Perth playing the running team of the doggies Daniher will have it in mind to save some of his legs.

**Here is what I'm going for today:
Geelong v Bulldogs
Fremantle v Melbourne
Geelong +39.5 / Fremantle +39.5
$134.40 @ $1.22

amnesiac · Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2006 11:55 am Post subject:

good luck with the freo bet. should be safe but you can never be too safe when you have money on freo.

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

Geez Stone dont know about Freo, like the Geelong bet but for Freo? Melbourne coming off a 9 day break into this game so Im sure they would have had a chance to freshen up. Melbourne are a high scoring team and Freo are a low scoring team leaving the door open for a big Melbourne result if they get going, and as you said Geelong could do it so why not Melbourne? Freo rely on their small forwards and Melbourne have some great small defenders.

Having said that I sincerly hope you win, just thought Id add my two cents! Good luck

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Geelong v Bulldogs
Fremantle v Melbourne
Geelong +39.5 / Fremantle +39.5
$134.40 @ $1.22 Laughing

Bank: $563.97
Profit: $463.97

Dutchy · Hall Of Fame Joined: 18 Jun 2006 Posts: 1949 Location: SA

Jimmyboy · Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2006 11:06 pm Post subject:

Yeah it was the best performance I've seen from Freo since, well, last week Wink

If they miss the finals from here, boy will it be a choke.

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Dutchy: Hehehe. You're too kind with your words. Freo at home have been good apart from the Geelong game. I really did look at it as I do at horses. You know the saying "forget last start." I agree they have been inconsistent but their home form hasn't been that bad, and Melbourne are to have another tough game against the doggies this week and we all know how hard it is the week after Subiaco.

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Here we go with a Friday Night Football bet:

Collingwood v Hawthorn
Collingwood +24.5
$113.97 @ $1.06

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

Collingwood v Hawthorn
Collingwood +24.5
$113.97 @ $1.06

*Easy.

Bank: $570.81
Profit: $470.81
ROI: 7.5%

stone cold · Professional Punter Joined: 27 Mar 2004 Posts: 2993

I'm currently having a look at taking West Coast +39.5 @ $1.27.
Adelaide certainly are the bench mark of the comp but this game is at Subiaco and if West Coast lose this then their season is on the line. With a loss today then I reckon West Coast could struggle for a top 2 spot. West Coast still have to travel to Brisbane and have the derby against Freo and have to go to the MCG to play Richmond. A loss today would really rock the Eagles.
In their last 10 games at Subiaco West Coast have only allowed 3 teams to score over 90pts. Even if West Coast allowed Adelaide to get to 90 then they would need to be held to less than 51.
West Coast have lost at home twice in their last 10 there and they were by single figures.
Adelaide's biggest winning margin there in their last 10 at that venue is 40 pts and that was against Fremantle in 2002.
I just think West Coast need it more.
I don't know. I'll be back later to confirm.

Jimmyboy · Posted: Sat Jul 29, 2006 1:00 pm Post subject:

I like West Coast in this game as outsiders but Adelaide could easily win the game by over 39 points - even interstate travel doesn't affect them. If West Coast get off to a poor start they could get smashed. Just my two cents, I think they can keep within 39 but it's not a 100% certainty.